Roskilde vs Fremad Amager Prediction

Must see, you must... the form before the fixture, the numbers before the name. And what we see here, a clear picture, it is.

Roskilde arrive at their own ground on 23 October carrying a remarkable run of results. Three wins and two draws in their last five, with not a single defeat. Stretch the lens wider and the picture sharpens: six wins, four draws, zero losses across their latest ten matches. They have scored 25 goals in those ten games, an average of 2.5 per match, and conceded just 9. At home over 20 games, Roskilde have won 9, drawn 5 and lost 6, scoring 1.9 per game. Their last two home fixtures tell the tale plainly: 3–0 against Skive on 10 October and 5–1 against FA 2000 on 18 September. The attack is in full song, and the defence is holding its shape.

Fremad Amager, the visitors, tell a different story. Two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five. The defeats sting: 0–1 at Brabrand on 10 October and 0–3 at home to B 93 on 2 October. They have scored just 6 goals in those five matches, 1.2 per game, and conceded 8. Their away record over 20 games shows 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, scoring 1.35 per game. Not a disaster, but not a force to be reckoned with, either. A team that has failed to score in 6 of those 20 away games is a team that will struggle to find the net at a side that has not failed to score in its last 10.

Now, the head-to-head. Two recent meetings within the last 12 months, and both ended in a draw: 1–1 at Fremad Amager's ground on 21 August and 2–2 at Roskilde's ground on 18 July, the latter a friendly. A pattern, perhaps, but only two games, and one was a friendly. The older meetings at Roskilde's ground show a 2–0 Roskilde win in October 2025, but those are historical record, not current form. The full head-to-head stretches back 9 years across 23 meetings, so the fixture history is dated and we lean on what the teams are doing now.

The counter-argument, I must acknowledge, is real. Fremad Amager have won 8 of their last 20 away games. They are not a team that folds on the road. And those two recent draws suggest this fixture has a way of producing a level score. But two draws in two meetings is a small sample, and the form gap between a side that has not lost in ten and one that has lost twice in five is hard to ignore. The scoring disparity — 2.5 per game for Roskilde over ten matches against 1.4 for Fremad Amager — tells you who is creating the chances and who is not.

Key Points:

• Roskilde are unbeaten in their last 10 matches (6W 4D 0L), scoring 2.5 per game and conceding 0.9

• Fremad Amager have lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0-3 home defeat and a 0-1 away defeat

• Both recent head-to-head meetings within 12 months ended in draws (1-1, 2-2)

• Roskilde's home record: 9W 5D 6L in 20 games, 1.9 goals scored per game

• Fremad Amager's away record: 8W 6D 6L in 20 games, 1.35 goals scored per game

The market's decimal price for a Roskilde win is 1.91, implying a 52.36% chance. My reading of the form, the home record and the scoring disparity puts Roskilde's likelihood closer to 58%. The two recent draws give the draw a whisper of credibility, but the weight of evidence favours the home side. A wise man once said, "Do or do not, do not try." In this case, the try is the home win. Roskilde at 1.91, the wiser path.