Roskilde vs Fremad Amager Prediction

Right, so we've got Roskilde at home against Fremad Amager on 23 October, and if you've been following the 2. Division, you'll know Roskilde are the team to watch. Three wins and two draws from their last five, no defeats, and they've racked up 14 goals while letting in just 5. That's 2.8 a game on the attack and only 1.0 on the defence. At home they've been absolutely ruthless — 3-0 over Skive on 10 October and 5-1 against FA 2000 on 18 September. The sort of results that make you think, "right, this lot are on a serious tear."

Fremad Amager, on the flip side, are having a bit of a wobble. Two wins, a draw and two losses from their last five, with 8 goals conceded and only 6 scored. That 0-3 thrashing at home by B 93 on 2 October and the 0-1 loss away to Brabrand on 10 October were ugly. They did grab a 3-2 win over Nykobing FC on 16 October, which was a bit of a lifeline, but the overall picture is a team that's struggling to find its feet. They've failed to score in two of their last five and haven't kept a clean sheet in any of them.

Now, the head-to-head in the last 12 months has been all draws — a 1-1 at Fremad Amager's ground on 21 August and a 2-2 at Roskilde's ground on 18 July (that one was a friendly). So these two have been evenly matched recently, but that's only two games, and Roskilde's form since those meetings has been exceptional. Going back further, Roskilde won 2-0 at home in October 2025, which is historical record, but it does show the home side can handle this fixture.

The longer home and away records back it up. Roskilde at home over 20 games have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, scoring 1.9 per game. Fremad Amager away over 20 games have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, scoring 1.35 per game. Roskilde's home numbers are clearly the stronger side of this equation, and their last 10 across all venues — 6 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses — is the kind of record that makes you nervous if you're the opposition.

The counter-argument? Those two recent draws between these sides are hard to shake off. Fremad Amager did pick up 3 points against Nykobing FC on 16 October, and their away record over 20 games isn't a disaster. But the difference in recent results is significant, and Roskilde haven't lost in 10 games. The market's 52.36% implied probability on the Roskilde win sits below what I'd put on this, and that's where the value lives.

Key Points:

• Roskilde are unbeaten in their last 10, with 6 wins and 4 draws

• Roskilde have scored 2.8 per game in their last 5, conceding just 1.0

• Fremad Amager have lost 2 of their last 5 and failed to score in 2 of those

• The last two H2H meetings were both draws (1-1 and 2-2)

• Roskilde's home record: 9W 5D 6L in 20 games, scoring 1.9 per game

My pick: Roskilde home win at 1.91.