Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye Prediction

May the form be with you, friend. And in this case, the form points to the visitors.

Henan Jianye arrive at Sichuan Jiuniu's ground carrying the weight of a team that simply does not lose easily. Their last four matches have been draws — a 1–1 at Wuhan Three Towns, a 0–0 against Chengdu Better City, a 1–1 with Chongqing Tongliang Long, and a 4–4 thriller at Shenyang Urban. Four draws in a row, six goals scored, six conceded. It is a pattern that says, 'we will not fall, but we will not rise either.' Yet beneath that quiet consistency, their away record over 20 games tells a different story: 7 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses, 1.35 points per game, and 1.35 goals scored per outing. They are a team that travels well, and the numbers do not lie about it.

Sichuan Jiuniu, meanwhile, have been searching for their footing. Their last five matches: a 1–1 draw at Shandong Luneng, a 0–1 defeat to Shanghai SIPG at home, a 1–1 draw with Hangzhou Greentown at home, a 2–1 win at Shenyang Urban, and a 0–4 thrashing by Beijing Guoan. One win, two draws, two losses. At home over 20 games they are a solid side — 9 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses, 1.8 goals scored per game — but the last two months have not been kind. They have failed to score in two of their last five matches and have not kept a clean sheet in any of them. A team that scores 0.8 per game in its recent outings is a team that struggles to find the back of the net.

The head-to-head at this venue is thin. There has been no recent meeting at Sichuan Jiuniu's ground. The only meeting within the last 12 months was at Henan Jianye's ground in May 2026, where Henan won 1–0. Older meetings at this venue — a 1–3 Henan win in 2025 and a 0–0 draw in 2024 — are historical record, not current form. So we lean on what is fresh: Henan's away numbers and Sichuan's recent struggles to find goals.

Now, the wise one must also see the other side. Henan's four-draw run is real. In their latest 10 matches, they have won only twice and drawn seven. That is a team that settles into a stalemate. And Sichuan at home, over 20 games, have won 9 of them. The draw at 3.7 is not without merit. But a draw is not a win, and the question is who breaks the deadlock. Henan's record on the road, combined with Sichuan's inability to find goals in recent weeks, tips the balance toward the visitors. I see Henan winning this one, and my estimate of roughly 48 percent sits above the market's 44.64 percent for the away win. The price at 2.24 offers value for the patient bettor who trusts the numbers.

Key Points:

• Henan Jianye's away record over 20 games: 7W 6D 7L, 1.35 points per game

• Sichuan Jiuniu's last 5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, 0.8 goals scored per game

• Henan Jianye have drawn their last 4 matches (scored 6, conceded 6)

• Only one recent H2H meeting (May 2026): Henan won 1–0 at their ground

• Both teams' latest 10 games show 4/10 over 2.5 goals — a low-scoring fixture is likely

The force is with the visitors. I recommend the away win for Henan Jianye.