ST Johnstone's home record is the single most compelling number in this fixture. Over their last 20 home games, dating back to 15 November 2025, they have won 11, drawn 7 and lost just 2, averaging 2 points per game and scoring 2 goals per match while conceding 0.95. Eight of those 20 home games ended in a clean sheet, and they failed to score in only three. That is a record that speaks for itself.
Dundee Utd's away record, over their last 20 away games dating back to 6 December 2025, tells a very different story. Five wins, three draws and 12 losses. They average 0.9 points per game away, score 1.25 per match and concede 2. Only three of those 20 away games ended in a clean sheet, and they failed to score in eight. The gap between these two records is stark: ST Johnstone have won 11 of 20 at home, Dundee Utd have won 5 of 20 away.
The head-to-head, however, is entirely historical. There have been no meetings between these two sides within the last 12 months. The five most recent encounters, stretching back to April 2025, saw Dundee Utd win three and ST Johnstone win two, with no draws. At ST Johnstone's ground, the two meetings produced one win for each side. I will not treat those results as a trend or an edge; they are dated, and I lean on current form and venue records instead.
The counter-argument is Dundee Utd's recent form. Over their last five matches they have won three, drawn one and lost one, scoring 9 goals and conceding 4. They are on a two-game winning run, having scored 4 and conceded 0 in those two. The 3–0 away win at ST Mirren on 19 September and the 4–0 away win at Kilmarnock on 29 August showed they can score in numbers on the road. Their 1–0 home win over Hibernian on 10 October, where Hibernian received a red card in the 84th minute, kept the momentum going.
ST Johnstone's recent form is solid but less dominant. Two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five, with 5 goals scored and 4 conceded. Their most recent match was a 1–0 away win at Aberdeen on 11 October. At home they drew 1–1 with Falkirk on 19 September (with a red card in the 53rd minute) and lost 0–1 to Celtic on 9 September, but beat Hibernian 2–1 on 6 September.
On the goal markets, ST Johnstone's last five games saw over 2.5 goals in only one match, while Dundee Utd's last five saw over 2.5 in three. At ST Johnstone's ground, 11 of the last 20 home games finished under 2.5 goals. Dundee Utd's away record, though, has seen over 2.5 in 13 of 20 away games. The BTTS picture is mixed: ST Johnstone's home games have split evenly (10 yes, 10 no), while Dundee Utd's away games lean slightly toward no (11 no, 9 yes).
Key Points:
- ST Johnstone have won 11 of their last 20 home games (11W 7D 2L), scoring 2 per game and conceding 0.95.
- Dundee Utd have lost 12 of their last 20 away games (5W 3D 12L), conceding 2 per game.
- Dundee Utd are on a two-game winning run (4 goals scored, 0 conceded) and have won 3 of their last 5.
- No meetings between these sides in the last 12 months; the head-to-head is historical only.
- ST Johnstone's last 5 games saw under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5; Dundee Utd's last 5 saw over 2.5 in 3 of 5.
The numbers paint a clear picture of ST Johnstone's home dominance and Dundee Utd's away struggles, but the gap between the two records does not translate into a certainty I can stake on. Dundee Utd's recent form is strong enough to keep this open, and the absence of any recent head-to-head meetings means I cannot anchor a confident pick. When the evidence does not give me the conviction I need, I pass. No Bet.
ScotlandPremiership
