VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern München Prediction

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone will be flocking to back the league leaders Bayern München, my attention is firmly fixed on the plucky underdogs from Stuttgart. Let me tell you why this could be one of those special days when the little puppies bite back!

Stuttgart have been absolutely formidable at home recently, winning their last three matches on their own patch. They've been scoring freely too, netting 2.33 goals per game at home. Just look at their recent home performances - a 3-2 victory over FC Augsburg and a 2-0 win against Feyenoord in the Europa League. These aren't just wins; they're statements of intent!

The head-to-head record might look daunting for Stuttgart fans, but numbers can be deceiving. In their last meeting back in August, Stuttgart pushed Bayern all the way, losing only 2-1. More importantly, both teams have scored in 6 of their 9 encounters, suggesting Stuttgart know how to find the net against the Bavarians.

Bayern's away form, while still strong, shows some cracks. They've won just 50% of their last 6 away games and have been conceding regularly on the road - 1.17 goals per game away from home. They even dropped points in a 2-2 draw at Union Berlin recently. This isn't the invincible machine everyone expects!

Stuttgart's attacking form has been impressive too. They've scored 18 goals in their last 10 games, including that spectacular 4-0 thrashing of GO Ahead Eagles. Their 3-3 draw with Borussia Dortmund showed they can compete with the very best.

The goal expectancy data suggests this could be an open game (1.75 vs 1.50), and with Stuttgart's home advantage and Bayern's defensive vulnerabilities away from home, we could be in for a treat. The odds of 5.75 for a Stuttgart home win seem far too generous for a team that's been so dominant at home recently!