Viking vs Tromso Prediction

Viking arrive at this Eliteserien fixture with a home record that is hard to ignore. Across 20 home games spanning the last 12 months, they have won 18, drawn 1 and lost just once, averaging 2.75 points per game and 3.55 goals scored per game while conceding only 1. They have failed to score in none of those 20 home matches, and every single one of those games has finished with more than two goals. That is a record of sustained dominance at their own ground.

Tromso, by contrast, travel with an away record that tells a very different story. In 20 away games, they have won 9, drawn 3 and lost 8, averaging 1.5 points per game. They have failed to score in 4 of those 20 away matches and concede 1.75 per game. Their last two outings have both been 1–1 draws — against KFUM Oslo at home on 18 October and Fredrikstad away on 11 October — and before that they were beaten 3–5 by Rosenborg on the road. The current run of two draws suggests a side that is struggling to find a winning edge.

The head-to-head is mostly historical, with the only meeting within the last 12 months being a 1–1 friendly at Tromso's ground in February. The older meetings, reaching back to 2024, show Viking winning at both venues (2–1 at Viking's ground and 1–3 at Tromso's ground) with two draws in between. While those results are dated and should not be treated as a current trend, they do confirm that Viking have generally had the edge in this fixture.

The strongest counter-argument is that Tromso have scored in all five of their recent matches and have not kept a clean sheet in that span. Their last two games have been draws, which means they are not without the ability to compete. Viking's most recent defeat, 1–3 to Aston Villa in the Champions League on 21 October, also reminds us that even a dominant side can have an off day. However, that loss came against a top European club in a different competition, and in domestic context Viking's form — 3 wins from their last 5, including a 3–2 home win over Fredrikstad on 17 October and a 2–0 away win at Brann on 9 October — is compelling.

Key Points:

• Viking have won 18 of their last 20 home games, scoring 3.55 per game and conceding just 1.

• Tromso have lost 8 of their last 20 away games and have drawn their last two matches.

• The only recent head-to-head meeting (February 2026) ended 1–1 in a friendly.

• Viking have scored in all 20 of their home games; Tromso have failed to score in 4 of 20 away games.

• Tromso's last two matches have been draws, but their away record remains weak.

The evidence points firmly to a Viking home win.