Preview
Pajimon here, boys! Pour yourself a cold one and let's get into this Ykkönen fixture. VJS host TPV on 18 October, and I'm telling you, this one's got the smell of a home win cooking on the braai.
VJS have been absolutely cooking. Four wins in their last five, scoring 8 and conceding just 2. That's the kind of form that makes you want to put your money on the table. At home over 20 games, they've won 13, drawn 5 and lost just 2, averaging 3.1 goals a game while keeping it to 1.1 conceded. That's a team that comes out to play and doesn't fold.
TPV, on the other hand, have been struggling on the road. Their away record over 20 games is 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, averaging just 1.25 points per game. They've only managed 1.5 goals per game away and conceded 1.95. In their last five, they've lost three of them, conceding 10 goals. Both of their wins in that stretch came at home — a 4-0 against KPV-j and a 4-2 against KuPS Akatemia. On the road, they're not there.
The head-to-head at VJS's ground shows VJS taking the recent meeting in June 2-1. Going back further, in a 2024 meeting at this ground, VJS beat TPV 6-2. TPV's only recent meeting at this venue went to VJS.
Now, the counter-argument: TPV did beat VJS 3-1 at their own ground in April, and they've scored 2.0 per game in their last 10. They're not a team that sits down. But that win came at their home, and their away numbers don't back them up here.
Key Points:
- VJS won their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 2
- VJS home record: 13W 5D 2L in 20 games, 3.1 goals per game
- TPV away record: 7W 4D 9L in 20 games, 1.25 points per game
- Recent H2H at VJS's ground: VJS won 2-1
- TPV lost 3 of their last 5, conceding 10 goals
My pick: VJS home win.
