Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda Prediction

Right, let's have a proper look at this Super League clash. Yunnan Yukun are hosting Tianjin Teda, and the numbers tell a very clear story.

Yunnan Yukun are absolutely dominant at home. In their last four home games, they've won every single one. They're scoring 2.50 goals per game at home and only letting in 0.25. That's a fortress. They just thrashed Sichuan Jiuniu 4-3 away, but at home, they're a different beast.

Tianjin Teda, on the other hand, are in a right pickle. They haven't won a single away game in their last four outings. They're averaging just 0.25 goals scored on the road and conceding 2.00. That's not a great look for the visitors.

Head-to-head, Yunnan has the upper hand. They've won two of the last three meetings, keeping clean sheets in both wins (2-0 and 1-0). The last time they met, Yunnan won 2-0.

So, what's the value here? The odds for a Home Win are 1.72, which is decent, but the real value lies in the goal markets. Given Yunnan's tight home defense (0.25 conceded per game) and Tianjin's poor away attack (0.25 scored per game), it's highly likely Tianjin won't find the net.

The bookies are offering 2.20 for Both Teams to Score - No. The implied probability is around 45%, but looking at the stats—Yunnan's home clean sheets and Tianjin's away goal drought—the actual probability is much higher, likely around 75%. That's a solid edge.

Key Points:

• Yunnan Yukun have a 100% win rate in their last 4 home games.

• Tianjin Teda have a 0% win rate in their last 4 away games.

• Yunnan averages 2.50 goals scored at home, Tianjin averages 0.25 goals scored away.

• Head-to-head favors Yunnan (2 wins, 1 draw).

• BTTS No offers the best value at 2.20 odds.

Summary:

Yunnan Yukun are a house at home, and Tianjin Teda struggle to score on the road. The stats scream clean sheet for the hosts. The best bet is Both Teams to Score - No at 2.20.