Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda Prediction

Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda: Match Preview

Preview

Hey guys, Pajimon here. What do you mean no meat? We only bet on the juicy ones. Today we look at Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda in the Super League. Yunnan sits 3rd with 9 points, while Tianjin is rock bottom at 0 points. The stats scream value on the Home Win.

Yunnan Yukun is a fortress at home. In their last 4 home games, they have a 100% win rate. They average 2.50 goals scored per game at home and only concede 0.25. Their recent form includes a 4-0 win against Shandong Luneng and a 4-3 away win against Sichuan Jiuniu. They are scoring freely.

Tianjin Teda, on the other hand, are struggling away from home. In their last 4 away games, their win rate is 0%. They average just 0.25 goals scored per game away and concede 2.00. Their recent results show losses to Shenyang Urban (0-3) and Sichuan Jiuniu (0-1). They simply cannot score on the road.

Head-to-head record is also heavily in Yunnan's favor. In 3 meetings, Yunnan has 2 wins and 1 draw. The last meeting ended 2-0 in Yunnan's favor. The goal expectancy data supports this, showing Yunnan expected to score 2.25 goals while Tianjin is expected to score 0.25.

The odds for a Home Win are 1.72. Given the stark contrast in home/away splits and the H2H dominance, the implied probability of 58% seems low compared to the data. This offers a clear edge. Lekker win potential.

Key Points:

  • Yunnan 100% home win rate.
  • Tianjin 0% away win rate.
  • H2H favors Yunnan.
  • Goal expectancy favors Yunnan.

Summary: Back Yunnan Yukun to win.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.72
+EV
+11.8%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN