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Match analysis

NorwayEliteserien

Lillestrom vs Molde

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eliteserien fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–2

Match Timeline

10'
S. Kilen⚽
Normal Goal → K. Lonebu
16'
Felix Va⚽
Normal Goal → D. Bassi
24'
Sondre Milian Granaas🟨
Yellow Card
26'
E. Breivik⚽
Normal Goal
37'
Sander Hestetun Kilen🟨
Yellow Card
46'
L. Ranger🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Ottesen
46'
S. Kilen🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Daehli
50'
Martin Linnes🟨
Yellow Card
66'
F. Elkaer🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Paintsil
66'
D. Bassi🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Gulbrandsen
67'
M. Linnes🔄
Substitution 2 → V. Bender
67'
E. Haugan🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Odegard
67'
K. Lonebu🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Kone-Doherty
80'
Daniel Daga🟨
Yellow Card
80'
E. Kitolano🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Melland
80'
D. Daga🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Risa
87'
S. Foss⚽
Normal Goal
88'
G. Nyheim🔄
Substitution 5 → Y. Ibrahimaj

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal12
5Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots27
3Blocked Shots10
10Shots insidebox19
3Shots outsidebox8
8Fouls10
7Corner Kicks6
1Offsides0
43Ball Possession57
0Yellow Cards4
9Goalkeeper Saves3
459Total passes626
368Passes accurate552
80Passes %88
1.63expected_goals2.95
0.27goals_prevented0.27

Tipster previews (5)

Pajimon

Molde's Scoring Machine Heads to Lillestrom

The pickMolde win

Chance
49%
Odds
2.19
Model EV
+7.3%

Molde are rolling into this one like a braai that's been firing for three hours — hot, smoky and absolutely ready. Seven wins, one draw and two losses in their last 10 games, with 3.8 goals a game pouring through. The 5-0 at Trygg/Lade and the 5-1 at Ham-Kam in the NM Cupen were…

Mr Simple

Molde's Scoring Machine Rolls Into Lillestrom

The pickMolde win

Chance
49%
Odds
2.19
Model EV
+7.3%

Right, so we've got Lillestrom hosting Molde on 11 October, and if you've been following the Eliteserien, you'll know Molde are in a bit of a groove. Four wins from their last five, 16 goals scored and just three conceded. That's 3.2 a game on the attack and 0.6 on the defence…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lillestrom

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Molde

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Per game

Lillestrom at home vs Molde away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eliteserien

Overall edge
+83Molde
Venue edge
+61Molde
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lillestrom versus Molde: long term Elo, before the match
LillestromHomeRatingMoldeAway
Strength
1,501Overall1,584
1,485Match venue1,546
1,485At home1,624
1,491Away1,546
Attack & defence
1,475Attack1,587
1,514Defence1,526
1,493Home attack1,621
1,450Away attack1,539
1,506Home defence1,554
1,515Away defence1,532
Match profile
1,828Goal environment2,338
1,577Home goals2,002
1,752Away goals1,837
1,508Possession1,539
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,524
1,506Set-piece defence1,523
1,468Close games1,482
1,505Winning margin1,617

Match venue compares Lillestrom at home with Molde away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LillestromLillestrom1:1

Starting XI

12P. DahlbergG
11F. ElkaerD
21F. OttossonM
20Felix VaM
10T. OlsenF
28R. GabrielsenD
17E. KitolanoM
5S. FossD
14G. NyheimM
2L. RangerD
22D. BassiM

MoldeMolde1:1

Starting XI

22A. PosiadalaG
8M. LovikD
16S. KilenM
10E. BreivikF
27F. DahlD
23S. GranaasM
20K. LonebuF
19E. HauganD
30D. DagaM
25M. LinnesD
11C. ZadyM