Match preview
IrelandFirst Division
The strongest case in this First Division fixture points to both Wexford and UCD finding the net. Wexford have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, including a 3-3 draw with Longford Town at home on 2 October and a 2-2 draw at Bray Wanderers on 9 October. UCD have scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches, with 9 goals in that span, and their last 10 games show 9 out of 10 with both teams scoring. At Wexford's ground over 20 home games, both teams have scored in 11 of 20 meetings, while UCD's 20 away games show 13 of 20 with both sides finding the net. The head-to-head over 16 meetings at both venues has seen both teams score in 8 of 16.
The counter-argument is that Wexford's defensive record is poor. They have conceded in all 5 of their last 5 matches, with 10 goals against in that span, and their home record over 20 games shows 31 goals conceded. UCD, meanwhile, have conceded 11 in their last 5 and 20 in their last 10. However, the fact that both sides are leaking goals is precisely what makes the both-teams-to-score case so compelling. Wexford have failed to score in only 1 of their last 5, and UCD have failed to score in 0 of their last 5. The 2-2 at Bray and the 3-3 with Longford both show Wexford scoring freely even when their defence is exposed, and UCD's 4-0 away win at Treaty United on 2 October confirms they can score in numbers on the road.
Key Points:
The available prices could not be used for a recommendation on the match result itself, but the goal-scoring evidence is clear. I back both teams to score.