Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction

The force is strong with ST Mirren's inability to find the net. Three of their last five matches saw them fail to score at all, and across their last ten, that number climbs to four. Do or do not score, there is no try... but the try has failed, three times in a row. A team that has mustered just two goals in five matches has lost its voice, and the silence is loud.

Aberdeen, at their own ground, carry a record that speaks of quiet matches. Over 20 home games, 12 of them saw at least one side go scoreless. Their defence, conceding just 0.9 per game at home, is the sturdiest figure in this matchup. ST Mirren on the road tell a similar story: 10 of their last 20 away games ended with at least one team failing to score. Stack those two records side by side, and the undercurrent of a low-scoring affair becomes hard to ignore.

The head-to-head adds a wrinkle, though. In May, ST Mirren came to this ground and won 2–0. In December, the two sides shared a 3–3 draw. The visitors are not without the capacity to find the net here. And Aberdeen's own recent form carries a wobble — a 0–1 defeat to ST Johnstone six days ago left them without a goal, the only blank sheet in their last five matches. The counter-argument is real: both sides can be quiet, and the visitors have shown they can score in this fixture.

But the weight of the evidence leans one way. ST Mirren's four-game losing run, in which they conceded 11 and scored just one, is not a trend to be dismissed lightly. Their away record over 20 games shows 8 losses, and their scoring output of 1.5 per game on the road is modest. The market sees both teams scoring as the more likely outcome, at 58.82%. My own reading of the form, the venue records and the visitors' scoring drought puts that figure closer to 53%. The silence, I think, will be the louder outcome.

Key Points:

• ST Mirren failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches and 4 of their last 10

• Aberdeen's home record over 20 games: 12 of 20 saw at least one team score zero

• ST Mirren's away record: 10 of 20 games ended with at least one team failing to score

• ST Mirren are on a 4-game losing run, conceding 11 and scoring just 1

• The head-to-head at this ground includes a 2–0 ST Mirren win and a 3–3 draw

Both teams not to score.