Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction

The most telling evidence in this Premiership fixture is ST Mirren's scoring drought. In their last five matches, the visitors have failed to score in three — losing 0-5 to Heart of Midlothian on 10 October, 0-3 to Dundee United on 19 September, and 0-1 to Rangers on 9 September. Their only goals in that stretch came in a 1-2 defeat at home against Celtic and a 1-0 win at Kilmarnock, an average of 0.4 goals per game. Their current run is four consecutive losses, with just one goal scored and 11 conceded across those four matches.

Aberdeen's home record provides the complementary picture. Across 20 home games, the Dons have kept clean sheets in 8 of those matches, and their 0.9 goals conceded per game at home is the lower figure in this matchup. In their last 10 games across all venues, 7 of them saw at least one team fail to score.

The counter-argument is straightforward: the head-to-head at Aberdeen's ground has been mixed. In the two recent meetings here, ST Mirren won 2-0 away on 12 May 2026 and the sides drew 3-3 on 3 December 2025 — so both sides have found the net at this venue. ST Mirren also scored in two of their last five games, and their xG for in recent matches with data (1.39 per game) suggests they are creating chances even if the results haven't reflected it. Aberdeen's xG against in their recent games with data is 1.72 per game, a figure that makes a clean sheet less certain than the aggregate might suggest.

Key Points:

• ST Mirren have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game

• Aberdeen's home record: 8 clean sheets in 20 games

• H2H at Aberdeen's ground: 0-2 ST Mirren win and 3-3 draw in the last two meetings

• ST Mirren's current run: 4 consecutive losses, 1 goal scored, 11 conceded

• Both teams' latest 10 games show 7/10 with at least one team not scoring

The numbers point to a game where at least one side stays quiet. ST Mirren's scoring form is the most urgent signal, and Aberdeen's home defensive record reinforces it. I'm backing both teams not to score at 2.1.