Preview
Look, I'll be straight with you – this one's got the smell of a good braai on the grill, and I'm talking about Eibar. The Basques have been cooking on the road, and Cordoba's home defence is leaking like a bucket with a hole in it. Now I know what you're thinking – "Pajimon, you just want your meat and your beer, right?" And yes, I do. But the football here is as clear as a cold lager on a Friday evening.
Eibar's away record over the last 20 games is 10 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses, with just 0.75 goals conceded per game and 10 clean sheets in that stretch. Their last 10 matches across all venues show 7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses at 2.2 points per game, and they've scored in every one of their last five. That's a team that's been performing on the road, and the record is clear. They've also kept their defence tight – 1.1 conceded per game in that last 10, with 4 clean sheets.
Now look at Cordoba at home. Twenty games at their ground: 8 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses. They're conceding 1.5 per game and have only kept 5 clean sheets in 20. Their last 10 across all venues is 4 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses at 1.2 points per game, conceding 2 per game. That's a team that's been getting found out, and at home it's been particularly painful. Their only clean sheet in the last five came in the 1-0 win at Leganes on 16 October, and before that they were losing 1-2 at Eldense and 1-3 at Valladolid.
The head-to-head at this venue in the last 12 months was a 0-0 draw on 13 December 2025. The older meeting at Cordoba's ground was a 2-1 Cordoba win back in December 2024, but that's historical record and doesn't tell you much about where these teams are now. The most recent meeting, at Eibar's ground in May 2026, was a 2-0 Eibar win.
The counter-argument? Cordoba won their last game and they've scored in all five of their recent matches. They're not sitting at home with nothing to show. And that 0-0 at this ground last December shows the fixture can go tight. But I'll be honest: one clean sheet in five recent games and a home record that's split almost evenly between wins and losses doesn't give me the confidence to back them against a side that's been dominant on the road. Eibar's away defence is the best in this matchup, and Cordoba's home attack hasn't been enough to break through.
Key Points:
- Eibar's away record: 10W 6D 4L in 20 games, 0.75 conceded per game, 10 clean sheets
- Cordoba's home record: 8W 4D 8L in 20 games, 1.5 conceded per game, 5 clean sheets
- Eibar's last 10: 7W 1D 2L, scoring 2 per game; Cordoba's last 10: 4W 0D 6L, conceding 2 per game
- Recent H2H at Cordoba's ground: 0-0 draw (13 December 2025)
- Eibar have scored in all 5 recent games; Cordoba have conceded in 4 of 5
My verdict: Eibar away win at 3.23.
