Cordoba vs Eibar Prediction

The numbers don't lie, and in this one they're pointing firmly at Eibar. Their away record over the last 20 games is 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at 1.8 points per game, with a defence that has conceded just 0.75 goals per game and kept 10 clean sheets. Set that against Cordoba's home record of 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses at 1.4 points per game, conceding 1.5 per game with only 5 clean sheets in 20, and the gap is stark.

Eibar's recent form is equally telling. Over their latest 10 games across all venues, they've won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2, scoring 20 and conceding just 11. Cordoba, by contrast, have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 in their last 10, scoring 15 and conceding 20. The most recent head-to-head at Eibar's ground on 24 May saw them win 2–0, and the older meetings at that venue (4–1, 3–0) are part of the historical record. The only recent meeting at Cordoba's ground, back in December 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

The counter-argument is that Cordoba have won their last game — a 1–0 away at Leganes on 16 October — and they've scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches. Their home record does include 8 wins, and the 0–0 H2H at their ground suggests they can frustrate. But 8 wins in 20 home games is a 40% record, and 6 losses in the last 10 games tell a different story than the 3 wins in the last 5. Eibar's defence on the road, conceding under a goal a game, is the single most telling stat in this fixture.

Key Points:

• Eibar's away record: 10W 6D 4L, 0.75 conceded per game, 10/20 clean sheets

• Cordoba's home record: 8W 4D 8L, 1.5 conceded per game, 5/20 clean sheets

• Eibar's last 10: 7W 1D 2L, 2.0 scored per game; Cordoba's last 10: 4W 0D 6L, 1.5 scored per game

• H2H: Eibar won 2–0 in May 2026; 0–0 at Cordoba in December 2025

• Eibar's away defensive record is the clearest edge in this fixture

The market prices Eibar at 30.96% (3.23), but the evidence — their away record, their defensive solidity on the road, their recent form and the head-to-head — points to a higher probability. I rate Eibar's chance of winning at around 45%, which sits comfortably above the market's view. That's value. My pick: away win.