Granada CF vs Cadiz Prediction

Granada CF sit down to host Cadiz on 18 October in the Segunda División, and the numbers tell a fairly clear story. At home over the last 20 games, Granada have picked up 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.4 points per game and conceding just 1.1 per match. They've kept 7 clean sheets in those 20 home fixtures. Cadiz, on the other hand, have managed only 4 wins from 20 away games, averaging 0.95 points per game and conceding 1.8 per match, with just 2 clean sheets. That's a gap that's hard to ignore, mate.

Granada's recent form has been encouraging. They won their last two games — a 1–0 away at Burgos on 12 October and a 3–2 away at Real Sociedad II on 4 October — scoring 4 and conceding 2 in that stretch. Cadiz, meanwhile, lost 0–1 to Sporting Gijon at home on 11 October and have only one win in their last five (a 4–0 over Leganes on 3 October). Their away record over 20 games carries 9 losses, and that's where the real problem sits.

The head-to-head at Granada's ground is thin — just one meeting within the last 12 months, a 0–0 draw on 25 October 2025. The broader head-to-head spans 16 meetings over 8 years, with 14 of those 16 finishing under 2.5 goals and 10 of 16 seeing at least one team fail to score. That's a historical pattern, not a current form indicator, but it does suggest these two tend to play tight. The dates reach back quite far, so I'd lean on the recent numbers rather than that 8-year record.

The counter-argument is that Cadiz showed they can score in bulk — that 4–0 over Leganes two weeks ago — and that Granada lost 2–3 at home to FC Andorra on 26 September. Granada's home record includes 7 draws, which means they don't always get the win. And the one recent meeting at this venue ended 0–0. So it's not a lock.

But the weight of evidence favours Granada. Their home defensive record (1.1 conceded per game, 7 clean sheets in 20) is significantly better than Cadiz's away defensive record (1.8 conceded, 2 clean sheets in 20). Granada's current 2-game winning run contrasts with Cadiz's 1-win-in-5 form. The market prices Granada at 1.89, implying about 53%, and I'd put their chance of winning at roughly 55%, which edges above the price. I'm not shouting from the rooftops, but the football points one way.

Key Points:

• Granada's home record: 7W 7D 6L in 20 games, 1.4 ppg, 1.1 conceded per game, 7 clean sheets

• Cadiz's away record: 4W 7D 9L in 20 games, 0.95 ppg, 1.8 conceded per game, 2 clean sheets

• Granada won their last 2 matches; Cadiz lost their last 1 and have 1 win in 5

• H2H at Granada's ground: 0–0 (1 meeting, 25 Oct 2025); historical H2H heavily under 2.5

• Granada's home defence is the standout advantage over Cadiz's away record

Verdict: Granada CF home win.