Macarthur vs Perth Glory Prediction

Macarthur host Perth Glory in the A-League on 17 October, and the numbers paint a picture of a match where one side is likely to find the net while the other struggles to do the same.

The case for a low-scoring affair starts with Perth Glory's away record. Over their last 20 away games, spanning 15 months, they have failed to score in 9 of those 20 matches and average just 1.05 goals per game on the road. Their away form is 4W 7D 9L, a record that leaves them winless in 16 of 20 trips. Macarthur, by contrast, have scored in 16 of their last 20 home games, averaging 1.8 goals per game at their ground. The matchup table makes the contrast stark: Macarthur's home record of 8W 6D 6L with 1.5 points per game sits well above Perth Glory's away 4W 7D 9L at 0.95 points per game.

Both teams' recent form reinforces the under-scoring angle. Macarthur's last five matches produced BTTS no in three of five games, including a 0–0 draw at SD Raiders on 11 August. Perth Glory's last five also saw BTTS no in three of five, with 0–0 draws at Lions and Sydney interspersed with a 2–0 win and a 2–1 victory. The most recent head-to-head at Macarthur's ground on 30 November 2025 finished 0–2, a game where Macarthur failed to score entirely. The meeting before that, on 6 February 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

The counter-argument is that Macarthur's home record against Perth in the last 12 months is 0W 1D 1L, and their most recent game was a scoreless draw. Perth Glory's last 10 games show 1.4 points per game, slightly ahead of Macarthur's 1.3, and they have kept three clean sheets in that span. The 2–2 draw at Macarthur's ground in February shows the visitors can find a way into the game. Additionally, Macarthur's home record does concede 1.7 goals per game, so a defensive performance is not guaranteed.

However, the weight of evidence leans toward at least one team failing to score. Perth Glory's 45% away failure-to-score rate is the single most telling figure, and it is echoed in their last five games where they went blank in two. Macarthur's home scoring record is strong, but the combination of a Perth side that goes quiet on the road and Macarthur's recent low-scoring form makes a clean sheet for at least one side the more probable outcome.

Key Points:

• Perth Glory have failed to score in 9 of their last 20 away games, averaging 1.05 goals per game on the road.

• Both teams' last five matches produced BTTS no in three of five games each.

• Macarthur's home record: 8W 6D 6L in 20 games, scoring 1.8 per game; Perth Glory's away record: 4W 7D 9L, scoring 1.05 per game.

• The most recent meeting at Macarthur's ground (30 November 2025) ended 0–2, with Macarthur failing to score.

• Perth Glory's last 10 games show 3 clean sheets and 3 games where they failed to score.

The value sits with both teams not to score at 2.38. The market prices this at 42.02%, but the away scoring drought, the recent form of both sides, and the head-to-head at this venue all point to a higher likelihood. I rate the chance at roughly 55%, which gives a clear edge over the bookmaker's implied figure. That is the bet I'd back.