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Macarthur's home record is the most telling number in this fixture. Across 20 home games, they have won 8, drawn 6 and lost 6, scoring 1.8 goals per game. Perth Glory's away record over 20 games is 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses, with 1.05 goals scored per game. The matchup table makes the contrast stark: Macarthur are the stronger side at this end of the ground, and Perth Glory's away numbers are the weakest record in this fixture.
The head-to-head at Macarthur's ground, however, complicates the picture. In the last 12 months, the two sides have met twice here: a 2–2 draw in February and a 0–2 Perth Glory win in November. Macarthur have not beaten Perth Glory at home in that window. The one meeting at Perth's ground in April ended 3–1 to the hosts. Three recent meetings, and Macarthur have not won. The older record at this venue — including a 6–1 Macarthur win in October 2024 — is historical and does not carry the same weight as current form.
Macarthur's last five matches show 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. The two wins were comfortable — 3–0 away at Uni Azzurri and 4–0 at home against Wellington Phoenix — but the two losses were both away, including a 1–3 defeat to Perth Glory in April. Their most recent game was a 0–0 draw at SD Raiders. Perth Glory's last five include two friendlies against Adelaide United (a 2–0 win and a 1–3 loss), a 0–0 away draw at Lions, a 2–1 home win over Brisbane Roar, and a 0–0 away draw at Sydney. Their competitive away form in this window is two scoreless draws.
The case for Perth Glory rests on that recent head-to-head at this venue and the fact that Macarthur's two most recent competitive losses were both away. But the broader home record and Perth Glory's away weakness — 9 losses in 20 away games — make it hard to build a confident case for the visitors. Macarthur's home scoring of 1.8 per game against Perth Glory's away scoring of 1.05 suggests the hosts will find the breakthrough, yet the sample is thin and the head-to-head at this specific ground has not gone Macarthur's way recently.
Key Points:
- Macarthur's home record: 8W 6D 6L in 20 games, 1.8 goals scored per game
- Perth Glory's away record: 4W 7D 9L in 20 games, 1.05 goals scored per game
- Head-to-head at Macarthur's ground in the last 12 months: 1 draw, 1 Perth Glory win
- Macarthur's last 5: 2W 1D 2L; Perth Glory's last 5: 2W 2D 1L (two friendlies)
- Both teams' venue records show a clear gap in Macarthur's favour, but the recent head-to-head at this ground tempers the case
The numbers point to Macarthur, but the recent head-to-head at this ground and the limited competitive sample on both sides keep this well short of the certainty I require. No Bet.
