Napoli vs Inter Prediction

Top of the Table Clash: Can Napoli's Home Form Stop Inter's Charge?

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this top-of-the-table scrap between Napoli and Inter. Both sides are locked on 15 points, but that's where the similarities end, mate.

Inter have been absolutely flying lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They're banging in 2.7 goals per game and keeping it tight at the back with just 0.8 conceded. Their away form is proper tasty too - 80% win rate on their travels. They've just put four past Union St. Gilloise in the Champions League and ground out a 1-0 win against AS Roma. This is a team that knows how to get results.

Napoli, on the other hand, are a bit of a mixed bag. They've won 6 of their last 10, but here's the kicker - they've just lost two on the spin. Got hammered 6-2 by PSV and then lost 1-0 to Torino. That perfect home record (100% in their last 5 at home) might be looking a bit shaky now. They're leaking goals too - 1.7 per game and only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches.

When these two have met, it's usually tight stuff. Four draws in the last nine meetings, with the last three all ending 1-1. Both teams tend to find the net when they play each other - 6 out of 9 meetings have seen both sides score.

The stats paint an interesting picture. Inter are clearly the better side on form, but Napoli's home advantage can't be ignored. Inter are scoring for fun, but Napoli are shipping goals at home. This has got both teams to score written all over it.

Key Points:

  • Inter in red-hot form with 8 wins in last 10 games
  • Napoli's perfect home record under threat after two straight losses
  • Both teams have scored in 6 of their 9 previous meetings
  • Last three H2H meetings all ended 1-1 draws
  • Inter averaging 2.7 goals per game vs Napoli's 1.6
  • Napoli conceding 1.7 goals per game, Inter only 0.8

The way I see it, Inter's firepower should be too much for Napoli's leaky defence, but Napoli at home will likely get on the scoresheet too. Both teams to score looks the smart play here at 1.80.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.80
+EV
+8.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN