Pisa vs Palermo Prediction

Palermo come into this fixture at Pisa's ground in strong scoring form. In their last ten matches, they have won nine and drawn one, scoring 25 goals and conceding 10. More importantly for this market, they have found the net in every single one of those ten games. The last five alone tell the story: 2–1 against Carrarese at home, 2–0 at Mantova, 4–2 at Empoli, 2–1 against Padova, and a 1–1 draw at Avellino. Eleven goals scored, five conceded, and not a single blank in the scoring column.

Pisa, hosting at their own ground, have also been scoring. In their last five matches they have failed to score in only one — the 0–3 Coppa Italia loss to Fiorentina on 15 September. Across ten games, the blank count is just two. Their xG figures over the last five matches with data show 2.06 per game created, which is a healthy output. The concern, however, is their home record over 20 games dating back to 8 December 2025: 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses, with 1.1 goals scored per game and 1.65 conceded. That is a difficult environment to be in, and it is the main reason I am not recommending a Pisa win.

The head-to-head between these two sides is entirely historical. The most recent meeting was on 31 January 2025, 21 months before this kickoff, and all five listed meetings fall outside the 12-month window. I will not treat those results as current form. What they do show, though, is that both teams have scored in 5 of those 7 meetings, and two of the three older games at Pisa's ground (4–3, 1–1) saw both teams score.

The strongest counter-argument to a both-teams-to-score outcome sits in the longer venue records. Over 20 away games, Palermo have failed to score in 6 of 20. Over 20 home games, Pisa have failed to score in 8 of 20. Those windows stretch back to December 2025 and include a wider range of opponents. They suggest that in a given fixture at these grounds, there is a real chance one side goes goalless. But the last five and ten games tell a very different story, and I weight those more heavily. Palermo have not gone blank in ten. Pisa have gone blank in two. The recent evidence is clear, and I am comfortable with this pick.

Key Points:

• Palermo have scored in all 10 of their last 10 matches (25 goals scored, 10 conceded)

• Pisa have failed to score in only 2 of their last 10 matches

• Palermo's away record over 20 games: 7W 7D 6L, 1.3 scored per game

• Pisa's home record over 20 games: 4W 3D 13L, 1.1 scored per game

• The head-to-head is historical (most recent meeting 31 January 2025); both teams scored in 5 of 7

I am recommending both teams to score.