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Match analysis

BrazilSerie B

Cuiaba vs Avai

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie B fixture.

Tipster previews (6)

Mr Simple

Cuiaba vs Avai: Home Comfort Meets Away Woes

The pickCuiaba win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.68
Model EV
+9.2%

Right, so we've got Cuiaba hosting Avai on 11 October, and if you've been following the numbers, this one's got a clear lean. Cuiaba at home are the ones to back, and here's why. Over their last 20 home games, Cuiaba have picked up 8 wins, 8 draws and just 4 losses — 1.6 points…

Pajimon

Cuiaba vs Avai: Home Record Points to Cuiaba

The pickCuiaba win

Chance
64%
Odds
1.68
Model EV
+7.5%

Look, I'll be upfront with you - this fixture has the smell of a home win on it, and I'm not talking about the boerewors I had. Cuiaba at home against Avai away is a setup that makes my eyes light up. Cuiaba's home record over their last 20 games tells the story: 8 wins, 8…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cuiaba

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Avai

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Cuiaba at home vs Avai away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie B

Overall edge
+113Cuiaba
Venue edge
+153Cuiaba
Rating period
Cuiaba versus Avai: long term Elo, before the match
CuiabaHomeRatingAvaiAway
Strength
1,581Overall1,467
1,602Match venue1,450
1,602At home1,539
1,498Away1,450
Attack & defence
1,458Attack1,442
1,608Defence1,519
1,504Home attack1,472
1,413Away attack1,426
1,619Home defence1,574
1,551Away defence1,502
Match profile
1,333Goal environment1,097
1,452Home goals1,310
1,382Away goals1,287
1,489Possession1,479
Specialist ratings
1,520Set-piece attack1,440
1,520Set-piece defence1,442
1,573Close games1,482
1,583Winning margin1,458

Match venue compares Cuiaba at home with Avai away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.