Two professional gamblers and a Cambridge physicist changed how English football buys players. Here's how their models work and what bettors can borrow.
Read moreAston Villa took 65 points on chances worth 51. Hot streaks cool, cold ones thaw, and the market doesn't always price it in. Here's how to spot a run that won't last.
Read moreFrom tackles to through balls, VAEP puts a value on every on-ball action. Here's how it works and how bettors can use it.
Read moreArsenal's Özil did 86% of the work on a goal that went down as Kolašinac's assist. Here is how Expected Threat spots the chance creators the stat sheet misses.
Read moreHow possession value models (VAEP, EPV, OBV, xT) credit the actions goals and assists miss, and what that means for your betting.
Read moreIs that big home record real quality or just the ground? Use xG and home/away splits to tell the difference, with strategies worth testing.
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